Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK +138 BU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +14 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -2.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -3.0 (-11.0) | 132.0 (-10.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -6.2 (-7.8) | 131.7 (-9.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -4.0 (-10.0) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -3.7 (-10.3) | 132.6 (-10.6) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | MRMK 91 – 79 BU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | MRMK 64 – 61 BU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | BU 74 – 63 MRMK |
| Nov 28, 2021 | BU 61 – 60 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#344) | -3.2 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#321) | -0.85 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#313) | -1.24 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#310) | 0.453 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.2% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 22.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 16.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 55.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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