Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BU -150 MRMK +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +12 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -23.5 (-35.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -13.6 (-25.6) | 139.7 (+30.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BU -11.5 (-23.5) | 137.3 (+32.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | BU -12.4 (-24.4) | 140.3 (+29.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -14.3 (-26.3) | 141.0 (+29.0) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | MRMK 64 – 61 BU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | BU 74 – 63 MRMK |
| Dec 3, 2022 | BU 68 – 54 MRMK |
| Nov 28, 2021 | BU 61 – 60 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-0 |
| Away | 6-12 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | -10.5 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#6) | -1.68 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#14) | -2.40 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#58) | 0.333 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 31.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 23.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 37.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 36.9% |
Game Analysis
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