Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -350 OHIO +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -14.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -13.5 (+0.5) | 150.4 (+1.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -12.5 (+1.5) | 149.2 (+2.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -13.9 (+0.1) | 149.1 (+2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -8.5 (+5.5) | 152.2 (-0.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OHIO 88 – 81 MRSH |
| Dec 14, 2024 | MRSH 79 – 70 OHIO |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MRSH 74 – 69 OHIO |
| Dec 16, 2021 | OHIO 75 – 65 MRSH |
| Dec 13, 2020 | MRSH 81 – 67 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-8 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#52) | -0.1 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#91) | 0.10 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#84) | 0.12 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#117) | 0.452 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 10.5% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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