Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -170 OHIO +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -0.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -1.6 (+12.4) | 146.7 (+1.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -3.0 (+11.0) | 146.1 (+1.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.5 (+10.5) | 146.4 (+1.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.4 (+10.6) | 149.7 (-1.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OHIO 88 – 81 MRSH |
| Dec 14, 2024 | MRSH 79 – 70 OHIO |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MRSH 74 – 69 OHIO |
| Dec 3, 2022 | MRSH 83 – 69 OHIO |
| Dec 16, 2021 | OHIO 75 – 65 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-1 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#59) | 13.7 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#25) | 1.08 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#29) | 1.85 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#38) | 0.461 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 52.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 60.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 78.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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