Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -110 OHIO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -4.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -3.6 (+5.4) | 151.5 (-2.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -3.3 (+5.7) | 153.3 (-4.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.5 (+5.5) | 154.1 (-5.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.3 (+5.7) | 155.0 (-6.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OHIO 88 – 81 MRSH |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MRSH 74 – 69 OHIO |
| Dec 3, 2022 | MRSH 83 – 69 OHIO |
| Dec 16, 2021 | OHIO 75 – 65 MRSH |
| Dec 13, 2020 | MRSH 81 – 67 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#194) | -1.8 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#230) | -0.33 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#235) | -0.40 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#247) | 0.481 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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