Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.0 Under |
| Money | OHIO -365 MRSH +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -13.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -8.5 (-13.5) | 158.1 (-15.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -10.6 (-15.6) | 153.0 (-10.0) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -10.7 (-15.7) | 155.7 (-12.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -11.5 (-16.5) | 158.0 (-15.0) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | OHIO 88 – 81 MRSH |
| Dec 14, 2024 | MRSH 79 – 70 OHIO |
| Dec 3, 2022 | MRSH 83 – 69 OHIO |
| Dec 16, 2021 | OHIO 75 – 65 MRSH |
| Dec 13, 2020 | MRSH 81 – 67 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#143) | -6.1 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#169) | -1.63 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#173) | -1.87 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#187) | 0.444 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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