I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–11 on winners spread MAE 9.6 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Creighton @ Texas +8.4 139.7 75% 67–72 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Radford +4.2 136.4 69% 78–80 ✓
Cornell @ Delaware +3.3 152.0 65% 74–67 ✗
Presbyterian @ Wofford +12.9 134.7 85% 63–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +1.0 134.0 57% 73–58 ✗
Fairfield @ Manhattan -0.2 131.6 45% 53–56 ✗
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky -7.3 143.8 30% 73–77 ✗
Robert Morris @ Wright State +10.4 146.2 77% 80–59 ✗
Oakland @ Cleveland State +12.8 143.9 86% 64–80 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.0 140.2 63% 75–66 ✗
Chicago State @ Bethune-Cookman +2.9 143.4 61% 73–86 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +12.8 138.9 87% 67–70 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +9.4 144.2 84% 64–76 ✓
Denver @ Houston Christian -8.4 149.5 20% 93–83 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas State +13.0 123.3 87% 38–58 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay -11.3 139.9 16% 81–67 ✓
Arizona @ Utah +2.4 153.2 61% 66–81 ✓
Texas State @ Lamar -6.8 135.0 23% 65–55 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado +3.0 141.9 65% 60–59 ✗
Seton Hall @ Kansas +7.8 138.5 80% 65–91 ✓
Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin +12.2 139.9 72% 102–96 ✗
Pacific @ UC Davis +11.1 153.7 81% 74–72 ✗
Utah Tech @ Utah State +15.9 154.1 88% 81–86 ✓
Washington @ Oregon State -3.4 133.1 49% 65–66 ✗
UCLA @ Stanford -7.1 136.4 23% 80–66 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +0.2 136.3 58% 60–74 ✓
Brown @ Bryant +13.8 144.6 82% 72–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.