Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UCD -200 PAC +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -14.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -11.1 (-13.1) | 153.7 (-7.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -11.6 (-13.6) | 157.2 (-11.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -11.8 (-13.8) | 157.7 (-11.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -11.2 (-13.2) | 157.4 (-11.4) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | UCD 82 – 61 PAC |
| Dec 19, 2021 | UCD 77 – 67 PAC |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UCD 63 – 57 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#85) | -2.6 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#92) | -2.44 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#106) | -2.14 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#122) | 0.319 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.