Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | KU -600 HALL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +26 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | KU -9.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -8.6 (+17.4) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -7.8 (+18.2) | 138.5 (+17.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -7.8 (+18.2) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -9.3 (+16.7) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#48) | 6.3 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#22) | 0.07 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#32) | -0.16 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#32) | 0.554 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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