Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · December 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -12.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money WOF -800 / PRES +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total WOF win
Actual WOF +13 139 Won
Massey WOF -17.5 (-4.5)
Massey Totals 138.5 (+0.5)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML WOF -12.9 (+0.1) 134.7 (+4.3) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -11.8 (+1.2) 139.9 (-0.9) 85%
Baseline ML WOF -11.6 (+1.4) 139.4 (-0.4) 83%
Baseline Plus ML WOF -10.8 (+2.2) 137.9 (+1.1) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 4, 2025 WOF 6356 PRES
Nov 14, 2024 PRES 7168 WOF
Dec 18, 2021 WOF 7649 PRES

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WOF PRES
Overall 17-16 5-27
Conference 8-10 1-17
Home 12-4 5-9
Away 4-11 0-15
Neutral 1-1 0-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L18
Avg Pts For 72.3 61.8
Avg Pts Against 74.0 70.4
Massey 1.8 (#147) -9.2 (#326)
Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#136) -3.04 (#347)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.14 (#125) -4.32 (#345)
RPI 0.519 (#152) 0.355 (#344)
Shooting & Four Factors WOF PRES
FG% 42.8% 38.1%
3PT% 34.4% 25.9%
REB / G 30.6 35.3
OREB / G 9.6 12.6
AST / TO 1.43 0.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 42.6%
TOV% 13.8% 20.4%
ORB% 29.8% 33.0%
FT Rate 26.7% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 17.7%
DRB% 70.5% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 20.0%

Game Analysis

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