Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PRES +180 WOF -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -12.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -6.4 (-3.4) | 143.3 (-4.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -9.0 (-6.0) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -7.8 (-4.8) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WOF 63 – 56 PRES |
| Dec 2, 2022 | WOF 76 – 63 PRES |
| Dec 18, 2021 | WOF 76 – 49 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#143) | -0.7 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#279) | -1.09 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#280) | -1.46 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#300) | 0.167 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 39.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 8.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 64.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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