Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -230 PRES +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +7 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -8.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -7.6 (-0.6) | 137.2 (-18.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.1 (+0.9) | 135.3 (-16.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -7.2 (-0.2) | 133.7 (-14.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.6 (-0.6) | 134.7 (-15.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | PRES 71 – 68 WOF |
| Dec 2, 2022 | WOF 76 – 63 PRES |
| Dec 18, 2021 | WOF 76 – 49 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#207) | -6.3 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#112) | -1.14 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#140) | -2.12 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#140) | 0.434 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.