Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +27 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -3.7 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.5 (-21.5) | 134.5 (-9.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -0.9 (-26.1) | 137.4 (-12.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -1.7 (-25.3) | 136.2 (-11.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.8 (-24.2) | 135.6 (-10.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WOF 63 – 56 PRES |
| Nov 14, 2024 | PRES 71 – 68 WOF |
| Dec 2, 2022 | WOF 76 – 63 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#242) | 4.9 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#118) | 0.43 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#125) | 0.71 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#110) | 0.515 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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