Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -188 OAK +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -20.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -14.4 (+1.6) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -12.8 (+3.2) | 143.9 (+0.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -13.0 (+3.0) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -14.8 (+1.2) | 142.0 (+2.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#152) | -12.7 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#140) | -2.98 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#196) | -4.12 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#241) | 0.353 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 60.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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