Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -150 CHST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -2.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -2.9 (+10.1) | 143.4 (+15.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -2.6 (+10.4) | 145.4 (+13.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -2.5 (+10.5) | 146.5 (+12.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -2.6 (+10.4) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | CHST 55 – 54 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-0 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#324) | -5.6 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#268) | -0.40 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#265) | -0.89 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#263) | 0.459 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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