Betting Lines
| Spread | CHST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CHST -275 BCU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +1 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | CHST -5.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHST -3.9 (-2.9) | 136.4 (-27.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -4.2 (-3.2) | 137.4 (-28.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -4.3 (-3.3) | 138.2 (-29.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -4.6 (-3.6) | 138.1 (-29.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2022 | BCU 86 – 73 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#302) | -8.7 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#295) | -1.42 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#315) | -2.06 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#311) | 0.428 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 38.5% |
Game Analysis
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