Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -213 ASU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -6.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -2.0 (-3.0) | 143.1 (-24.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.0 (-4.0) | 141.9 (-22.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -2.4 (-3.4) | 141.2 (-22.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -2.7 (-3.7) | 142.1 (-23.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#43) | 10.1 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#71) | 1.95 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#65) | 4.24 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#20) | 0.615 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 37.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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