Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +200 DEN -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +10 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | DEN -8.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -7.5 (-2.5) | 149.1 (+26.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -8.4 (-1.6) | 149.5 (+26.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -8.0 (-2.0) | 147.8 (+28.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -9.0 (-1.0) | 151.5 (+24.5) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2021 | DEN 74 – 61 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#359) | -2.1 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.43 (#363) | 0.59 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.70 (#363) | 0.02 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#335) | 0.439 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 38.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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