Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -175 COR +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -3.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.0 (-11.0) | 151.2 (-10.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.3 (-10.3) | 152.0 (-11.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -2.8 (-9.8) | 150.4 (-9.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -2.4 (-9.4) | 151.6 (-10.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#209) | 1.6 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#206) | 0.31 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#204) | 0.33 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#200) | 0.470 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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