Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LAM +600 TXST -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +10 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -2.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -2.6 (-7.4) | 138.1 (-18.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -6.8 (-3.2) | 135.0 (-15.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -2.3 (-7.7) | 138.5 (-18.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -2.7 (-7.3) | 139.5 (-19.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2021 | TXST 67 – 47 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-9 | 4-10 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#316) | 0.7 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#313) | -0.33 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.69 (#328) | -0.19 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#339) | 0.453 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 21.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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