Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +20 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -19.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -15.3 (+4.7) | 141.3 (-27.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -15.2 (+4.8) | 137.3 (-23.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -16.7 (+3.3) | 145.3 (-31.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -16.4 (+3.6) | 143.9 (-29.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2022 | TXST 65 – 55 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-8 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 0-18 |
| Home | 12-1 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-6 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#87) | -9.5 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#73) | -3.70 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#91) | -4.52 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#69) | 0.313 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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