Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -800 BRWN +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -20.0 (-32.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -13.8 (-25.8) | 144.6 (-12.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -13.3 (-25.3) | 148.2 (-16.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -14.8 (-26.8) | 148.9 (-16.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -14.1 (-26.1) | 147.7 (-15.7) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | BRWN 75 – 56 BRY |
| Dec 6, 2024 | BRWN 76 – 75 BRY |
| Dec 2, 2023 | BRY 69 – 66 BRWN |
| Nov 26, 2021 | BRY 65 – 59 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#58) | -6.1 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#33) | -1.45 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#54) | -2.00 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#44) | 0.370 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 81.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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