Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -245 BRWN +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -7.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -4.8 (-5.8) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -5.1 (-6.1) | 147.2 (+3.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -5.4 (-6.4) | 148.5 (+2.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -5.3 (-6.3) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | BRWN 75 – 56 BRY |
| Dec 2, 2023 | BRY 69 – 66 BRWN |
| Dec 2, 2022 | BRWN 72 – 60 BRY |
| Nov 26, 2021 | BRY 65 – 59 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 6-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 10-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#144) | -1.5 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#145) | -0.39 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#159) | -0.45 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#143) | 0.420 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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