Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -10.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -7.9 (-13.9) | 147.3 (-23.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -4.7 (-10.7) | 145.9 (-21.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -7.2 (-13.2) | 144.6 (-20.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -7.4 (-13.4) | 145.9 (-21.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | BRWN 75 – 56 BRY |
| Dec 6, 2024 | BRWN 76 – 75 BRY |
| Dec 2, 2023 | BRY 69 – 66 BRWN |
| Dec 2, 2022 | BRWN 72 – 60 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#236) | -6.0 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#262) | -1.79 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#257) | -3.48 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#231) | 0.357 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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