You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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55–13 on winners spread MAE 9.9 68 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Florida International +8.2 157.8 64% 80–68 ✗
Lehigh @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.5 139.9 65% 60–64 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech -3.8 145.7 28% 81–74 ✓
Saint Francis @ Bucknell +8.4 137.1 77% 65–89 ✓
Akron @ Marshall +8.5 140.7 77% 57–68 ✓
Lafayette @ Drexel +10.0 128.0 82% 56–64 ✓
Elon @ High Point +12.0 148.5 85% 70–84 ✓
The Citadel @ Charleston Southern +4.7 141.7 64% 76–73 ✗
Sacred Heart @ New Hampshire +3.6 145.6 60% 66–61 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State +0.7 144.7 52% 73–75 ✓
South Alabama @ Florida Atlantic +6.5 143.6 78% 59–84 ✓
Coppin State @ UMBC +0.7 162.4 65% 82–109 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Western Carolina +1.2 139.5 63% 71–55 ✗
NJIT @ Cincinnati +13.5 135.6 86% 60–86 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina A&T -0.2 134.3 40% 56–73 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ St. Bonaventure +4.4 131.9 62% 64–71 ✓
Richmond @ Toledo +2.9 148.5 68% 67–90 ✓
Hofstra @ George Mason +0.9 141.2 53% 77–81 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +17.0 133.3 88% 47–67 ✓
Howard @ Yale +20.3 135.9 90% 40–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross -4.6 137.9 28% 72–38 ✓
Vanderbilt @ VCU +4.3 133.9 76% 65–70 ✓
Hampton @ Georgia +12.7 140.1 88% 54–73 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Hartford -5.8 143.8 37% 66–74 ✗
Purdue @ Florida State -11.2 140.9 15% 79–69 ✓
McNeese @ Tennessee +28.3 130.9 91% 40–76 ✓
Ohio State @ Duke +4.4 134.6 76% 72–81 ✓
Rutgers @ Miami +0.9 136.0 64% 61–68 ✓
Delaware State @ St. Francis Brooklyn +4.5 133.1 64% 73–81 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Coastal Carolina -3.5 127.6 30% 60–58 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley -8.1 155.8 26% 82–89 ✗
Jacksonville @ UAB +9.9 144.2 83% 61–80 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Georgia Southern -8.0 136.5 22% 70–53 ✓
North Dakota @ Iowa State +23.4 132.1 90% 44–63 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois -0.6 135.5 33% 90–70 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Austin Peay -3.7 129.8 29% 75–74 ✓
Missouri State @ UIC -0.8 132.8 40% 66–51 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Evansville -7.7 127.3 24% 80–53 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +6.5 135.3 73% 53–68 ✓
North Alabama @ Memphis +21.0 143.7 90% 68–87 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Rice -3.3 148.7 62% 62–70 ✗
Monmouth @ Rider +8.7 139.4 81% 62–88 ✓
SMU @ Texas A&M +9.9 142.5 83% 64–83 ✓
Florida A&M @ Florida +21.3 144.9 91% 62–102 ✓
Georgetown @ Texas Tech +17.8 138.9 88% 65–79 ✓
Providence @ TCU +7.5 143.1 81% 62–75 ✓
Maine @ Fordham +7.7 136.1 82% 67–72 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Western Illinois -7.0 144.0 29% 78–86 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Pennsylvania +6.6 144.9 69% 85–80 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Xavier +15.7 154.3 87% 63–95 ✓
Montana State @ Southern Utah +4.8 146.7 67% 86–83 ✗
Tennessee State @ Saint Louis +14.8 152.9 86% 63–80 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Colorado State +8.7 145.1 77% 71–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Air Force +5.4 133.3 78% 53–81 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +5.5 143.2 72% 70–95 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Loyola Chicago +8.1 144.7 81% 70–85 ✓
Samford @ DePaul +0.3 142.2 60% 98–103 ✓
South Carolina @ George Washington +6.1 136.0 72% 55–79 ✓
Boston College @ Nebraska +6.7 128.2 72% 67–88 ✓
North Carolina @ Indiana +10.9 155.8 82% 65–77 ✓
Michigan State @ Notre Dame +0.2 138.7 51% 52–70 ✓
Little Rock @ San Francisco +17.1 150.2 89% 68–90 ✓
UC Riverside @ California Baptist +2.3 131.9 63% 60–65 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Seattle U +13.6 148.3 86% 62–69 ✓
New Mexico @ Saint Mary's +9.6 135.6 75% 69–65 ✗
USC @ California -4.7 127.3 25% 66–51 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Hawai'i +10.2 130.3 78% 53–51 ✗
Oklahoma State @ UConn +14.6 142.0 84% 64–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.