Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -6.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -4.3 (+0.7) | 133.9 (+1.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.0 (-0.0) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.1 (-0.1) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.1 (+0.9) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | VAN 89 – 74 VCU |
| Nov 18, 2021 | VCU 48 – 37 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#113) | 3.1 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#102) | 0.02 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#70) | 0.28 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#109) | 0.527 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 36.2% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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