Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +11 | 85 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -23.4 (-34.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-45.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -11.1 (-22.1) | 125.1 (-40.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -17.4 (-28.4) | 134.1 (-49.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -22.9 (-33.9) | 134.6 (-49.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -21.4 (-32.4) | 131.9 (-46.9) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | VAN 89 – 74 VCU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | VCU 70 – 65 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#60) | -7.1 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#85) | -1.08 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#75) | -1.68 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#154) | 0.450 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 26.0% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 13.8% |
| FT Rate | 37.3% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 38.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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