Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -900 HOW +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +46 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -26.2 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -20.3 (+25.7) | 135.9 (-9.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -20.4 (+25.6) | 135.5 (-9.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -22.3 (+23.7) | 136.3 (-10.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -24.2 (+21.8) | 136.5 (-10.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | YALE 87 – 81 HOW |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YALE 93 – 65 HOW |
| Jan 3, 2024 | YALE 86 – 78 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#29) | -8.3 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#34) | -0.81 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#29) | -1.74 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#70) | 0.445 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.0% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.