Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -1800 HOW +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +28 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -15.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -14.1 (+13.9) | 148.4 (+9.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -15.7 (+12.3) | 148.1 (+9.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -13.8 (+14.2) | 151.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -13.0 (+15.0) | 151.2 (+6.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | YALE 87 – 81 HOW |
| Jan 3, 2024 | YALE 86 – 78 HOW |
| Dec 1, 2022 | YALE 86 – 40 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 80.7 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#92) | -5.7 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#171) | -1.25 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#156) | -1.63 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#138) | 0.460 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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