Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -8.0 Push |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | HOW +278 YALE -355 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +8 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -1.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -2.9 (-5.1) | 143.8 (+20.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -0.4 (-7.6) | 144.6 (+19.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -1.3 (-6.7) | 144.6 (+19.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -1.1 (-6.9) | 146.2 (+17.8) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | YALE 87 – 81 HOW |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YALE 93 – 65 HOW |
| Dec 1, 2022 | YALE 86 – 40 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#223) | 3.1 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#256) | 0.73 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#231) | 1.14 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#263) | 0.542 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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