Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +260 UTC -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +7 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -0.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -3.8 (-3.2) | 145.7 (+9.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -0.2 (-6.8) | 141.9 (+13.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.1 (-7.1) | 143.1 (+11.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -1.0 (-6.0) | 142.3 (+12.7) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | UTC 68 – 63 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2021 | UTC 82 – 65 TNTC |
| Nov 17, 2021 | UTC 69 – 62 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2020 | UTC 62 – 54 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#307) | -1.2 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#320) | -0.41 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#320) | -0.28 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#296) | 0.532 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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