Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +17 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -0.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -4.6 (-12.4) | 136.5 (+10.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.9 (-17.9) | 137.1 (+9.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.5 (-17.5) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -0.1 (-17.1) | 132.9 (+14.1) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | UTC 68 – 63 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2022 | UTC 81 – 74 TNTC |
| Nov 17, 2021 | UTC 69 – 62 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2020 | UTC 62 – 54 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 12-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#162) | 6.4 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#171) | 1.68 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#133) | 2.87 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#219) | 0.570 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 40.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 13.4% |
Game Analysis
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