Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -20.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -16.8 (-9.8) | 137.3 (-6.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -23.7 (-16.7) | 137.5 (-6.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -20.6 (-13.6) | 134.3 (-3.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | UTC 68 – 63 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2022 | UTC 81 – 74 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2021 | UTC 82 – 65 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2020 | UTC 62 – 54 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 12-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#32) | -1.4 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#23) | -0.45 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#26) | -0.68 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#159) | 0.500 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 48.5% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 10.2% |
Game Analysis
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