Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -900 TNTC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -26.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -18.0 (-13.0) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -16.9 (-11.9) | 141.6 (-10.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -20.4 (-15.4) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -19.8 (-14.8) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | UTC 81 – 74 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2021 | UTC 82 – 65 TNTC |
| Nov 17, 2021 | UTC 69 – 62 TNTC |
| Dec 1, 2020 | UTC 62 – 54 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#98) | -14.4 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#29) | -2.56 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#34) | -3.85 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.740 (#14) | 0.287 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 11.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 59.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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