Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -175 AKR +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -14.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -12.4 (-1.4) | 142.1 (-17.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -8.5 (+2.5) | 140.7 (-15.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -12.9 (-1.9) | 144.2 (-19.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -11.8 (-0.8) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | AKR 88 – 86 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-8 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#41) | 1.0 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#114) | 1.27 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#114) | 1.89 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#124) | 0.606 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 9.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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