Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -275 EMU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +12 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -13.1 (-25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -9.1 (-21.1) | 159.7 (-11.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -8.2 (-20.2) | 157.8 (-9.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -10.3 (-22.3) | 156.4 (-8.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -10.5 (-22.5) | 158.2 (-10.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | EMU 92 – 88 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#241) | -10.4 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#207) | -3.71 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#203) | -5.06 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#274) | 0.283 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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