Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +4 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -2.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+39.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -0.5 (+3.5) | 142.1 (+37.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -2.4 (+1.6) | 144.2 (+35.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.6 (+2.4) | 142.1 (+37.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -1.4 (+2.6) | 143.6 (+36.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | EMU 80 – 68 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#226) | -0.5 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#198) | 1.34 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#167) | 1.41 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#138) | 0.551 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.