Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -31.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +40 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -24.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -23.2 (+16.8) | 145.1 (+18.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -19.9 (+20.1) | 143.4 (+20.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -17.5 (+22.5) | 142.8 (+21.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -21.3 (+18.7) | 144.9 (+19.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | FLA 84 – 60 FAMU |
| Nov 15, 2023 | FLA 89 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 4-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#137) | -16.0 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#181) | -2.10 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#150) | -3.01 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#216) | 0.342 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 40.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 27.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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