Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -35.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +24 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -34.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -33.2 (-9.2) | 155.9 (-11.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -33.1 (-9.1) | 156.7 (-12.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -23.9 (+0.1) | 154.9 (-10.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -27.4 (-3.4) | 156.7 (-12.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | FLA 89 – 68 FAMU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | FLA 102 – 62 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | W12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#26) | -15.1 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#6) | -1.18 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.37 (#9) | -1.77 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#20) | 0.451 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 40.8% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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