Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -100000 FAMU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +21 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -30.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -26.3 (-5.3) | 150.8 (+6.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -26.4 (-5.4) | 151.8 (+5.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -20.4 (+0.6) | 148.8 (+8.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -22.9 (-1.9) | 147.5 (+9.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | FLA 84 – 60 FAMU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | FLA 102 – 62 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.6 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#54) | -13.5 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#156) | -0.62 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#130) | -0.92 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#55) | 0.531 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 33.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 18.5% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 35.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 44.7% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 13.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 61.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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