Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -225 PV +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | PV -7.3 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -3.5 (+11.5) | 149.9 (-17.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -2.5 (+10.5) | 151.7 (-19.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -2.6 (+10.6) | 152.1 (-20.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -3.3 (+11.3) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | RICE 64 – 46 PV |
| Dec 21, 2023 | RICE 82 – 56 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#349) | 1.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#177) | -0.28 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#190) | 0.08 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#250) | 0.480 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 38.2% |
Game Analysis
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