Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -500 PV +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +26 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -5.3 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -6.2 (+19.8) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -5.3 (+20.7) | 140.5 (-2.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -5.8 (+20.2) | 139.3 (-1.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.6 (+20.4) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | RICE 64 – 46 PV |
| Dec 1, 2022 | RICE 70 – 62 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-10 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#213) | -3.2 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#219) | 0.08 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#229) | 0.06 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#194) | 0.510 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 40.9% |
Game Analysis
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