Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ND +18 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | ND -0.6 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ND -1.2 (+16.8) | 142.0 (-20.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -0.2 (+17.8) | 138.7 (-16.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ND -2.2 (+15.8) | 144.0 (-22.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ND -1.4 (+16.6) | 144.8 (-22.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2020 | MSU 80 – 70 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ND | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-8 |
| Home | 11-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#156) | 7.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#101) | 1.74 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#137) | 3.03 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#55) | 0.587 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ND | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.