Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK -225 DSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SFBK -4.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -2.9 (+5.1) | 131.3 (+22.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SFBK -4.5 (+3.5) | 133.1 (+20.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SFBK -3.9 (+4.1) | 133.3 (+20.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -3.6 (+4.4) | 134.5 (+19.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | SFBK 75 – 61 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#350) | -10.6 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#299) | -2.72 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#308) | -4.27 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#252) | 0.372 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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