Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | DSU +180 SFBK -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -4.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -5.4 (-8.6) | 134.0 (+2.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SFBK -5.8 (-8.2) | 134.4 (+1.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SFBK -3.5 (-10.5) | 134.6 (+1.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -3.6 (-10.4) | 133.8 (+2.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | SFBK 81 – 73 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 0-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 2-11 | 3-9 |
| Away | 0-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L25 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#356) | -8.7 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.82 (#354) | -3.09 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.20 (#352) | -3.82 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.274 (#357) | 0.357 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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