Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +350 SIU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +27 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -3.4 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -3.6 (-23.4) | 126.9 (+6.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -7.7 (-19.3) | 127.3 (+5.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -4.5 (-22.5) | 123.7 (+9.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -6.0 (-21.0) | 125.3 (+7.7) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIU 81 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIU 86 – 60 EVAN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | SIU 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 1, 2025 | EVAN 68 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SIU 65 – 53 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-10 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#270) | 4.4 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#308) | 1.43 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#305) | 1.17 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#318) | 0.603 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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