Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +340 SIU -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +14 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -9.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -8.5 (-5.5) | 137.8 (+10.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -7.9 (-6.1) | 139.2 (+8.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -9.5 (-4.5) | 140.3 (+7.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -9.2 (-4.8) | 138.3 (+9.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIU 86 – 60 EVAN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | SIU 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 1, 2025 | EVAN 68 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SIU 65 – 53 EVAN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | SIU 77 – 70 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#296) | 3.8 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#299) | 0.02 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#297) | -0.06 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#299) | 0.507 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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