Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +125 SIU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +12 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -3.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -1.8 (-10.2) | 143.0 (-25.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -4.7 (-7.3) | 141.1 (-23.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -2.1 (-9.9) | 143.4 (-25.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -2.3 (-9.7) | 144.1 (-26.1) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIU 81 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIU 86 – 60 EVAN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | SIU 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 1, 2025 | EVAN 68 – 53 SIU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | SIU 77 – 70 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#200) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#159) | 0.69 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#167) | 1.14 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#168) | 0.518 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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