Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | SIU -1600 EVAN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -19.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -13.6 (-6.6) | 130.4 (+16.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -14.1 (-7.1) | 131.7 (+15.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -14.1 (-7.1) | 131.3 (+15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -15.8 (-8.8) | 129.9 (+17.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIU 81 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIU 86 – 60 EVAN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | SIU 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 1, 2025 | EVAN 68 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SIU 65 – 53 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 13-2 | 3-10 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#110) | -11.9 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#84) | -1.80 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#104) | -2.32 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#87) | 0.407 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.