Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -34.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +36 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -34.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -30.6 (+5.4) | 133.2 (-17.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -28.3 (+7.7) | 130.9 (-14.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -24.3 (+11.7) | 131.9 (-15.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -28.2 (+7.8) | 130.8 (-14.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#9) | -11.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#33) | -2.80 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#30) | -4.42 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.674 (#12) | 0.337 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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